STRONG SUPPORT IN NEW YORK STATE FOR TERM LIMITS

To: New Yorkers for Term Limits
From: McLaughlin & Associates
Re: Executive Survey Summary
Date: September 22, 2005


Summary

Across every demographic and political grouping, New Yorkers support term limits by overwhelming margins. Nearly four out of five voters (77%) said they support placing eight-year term limits on Senators, Assemblymen and the Governor, and nearly two-thirds (60%) say they strongly support these term limits. Three-quarters (74%) of voters in the New York City media market support term limits, including 76% inside the five boroughs. As popular resentment towards government in New York rises, voters continue to see term limits as a practical solution to the problems facing Albany, New York City, and New York State.

The Issue

Nearly 80% of respondents said they support "placing term limits on members of the State Legislature and the Governor, so that they can not serve any longer than eight consecutive years in the same office." Sixty-percent (60%) say they strongly support term limits. Only one-in-five New Yorkers (19%) oppose term limits for legislators and the Governor.

"Placing term limits on members of the State Legislature and the Governor, so that they can not serve any longer than eight consecutive years in the same office."

Total
Support
77
  Strongly
60
  Somewhat
18
Oppose
19
  Somewhat
9
  Strongly
10
DK/Refused
4

Support for term limits is high across all regions of the state. Central New Yorkers - in Syracuse, Elmira, Binghamton and Utica - are particularly favorable towards the issue, with approximately 85% of area respondents in support of term limits. Support drops off a little in New York City as a whole, and in Westchester and Rockland Counties, as well as in Rochester and the North Country, but even in these areas, at least two-thirds of respondents still support term limits. Inside New York City, support is highest in Manhattan and Staten Island, and lowest in Brooklyn and the Bronx.

Total
NYC Media Market
NYC Five Boroughs
Support
77
76
74
Oppose
19
20
22
DK/Refused
4
4
5

Total
Long Island
Westchester & Rockland
Hudson Valley
Support
77
81
66
83
Oppose
19
15
30
14
DK/Refused
4
4
5
3

Total
NYC Five Boroughs
Brooklyn
Queens
Bronx
Support
77
74
64
76
68
Oppose
19
22
25
20
32
DK/Refused
4
5
12
4
0

Total
NYC Five Boroughs
Manhattan
Staten Island
Support
77
74
85
82
Oppose
19
22
15
18
DK/Refused
4
5
0
0

Total
Buffalo
Syracuse/ Elmira
Rochester
Support
77
77
84
71
Oppose
19
16
11
26
DK/Refused
4
7
4
2

Total
Binghamton & Utica
Albany
Watertown/ Plattsburgh
Support
77
86
81
73
Oppose
19
11
17
27
DK/Refused
4
4
2
0

Areas Ranked by Support:

  • Binghamton & Utica – 86%
  • Manhattan – 86%
  • Syracuse & Elmira – 84%
  • Hudson Valley – 83%
  • Staten Island – 82%
  • Albany/Schenectady/Troy – 81%
  • Long Island – 81%
  • Buffalo – 77%
  • NYC: Entire Media Market – 76%
  • Queens – 76%
  • NYC: Five Boroughs Only – 74%
  • Watertown & Plattsburgh – 73%
  • Rochester – 71%
  • The Bronx – 68%
  • Westchester & Rockland – 66%
  • Brooklyn – 64%

Republicans and Independents support term limits slightly more than their Democrat counterparts. However, seventy-three percent (73%) of Democrats still support the issue, while nearly 9-in-10 Independents (86%) do as well. Republicans fall in the middle, at 80% support.

Total
Republican
Democrat
Independent
Support
77
80
73
86
Oppose
19
15
23
14
DK/Refused
4
4
4
0

African-Americans and Whites are marginally more supportive of term limits than Hispanics. Both African-Americans and Whites registered support around eighty percent (81% and 77%, respectively), with a slight drop to 72% among Hispanics. New York City voters report greater similarity across the racial groups, as around three-quarters of Hispanics, African-Americans and Whites support term limits.

Total
Hispanic
African-American
White
Support
77
72
81
77
Oppose
19
25
16
19
DK/Refused
4
3
3
4

Total
NYC Five Boroughs
NYC
Hispanic
NYC
Afro-Amer
NYC
White
Support
77
74
76
75
74
Oppose
19
22
24
19
22
DK/Refused
4
5
0
6
4

There is no statistical difference between men and women on this issue.

Total
Men
Women
Support
77
78
77
Oppose
19
19
18
DK/Refused
4
3
5

Click the following link to see an article (10/3/05) in the New York Sun referencing this survey.

Methodology

This poll of 600 likely general election voters in New York was conducted on September 15th, 2005. All interviews were conducted via telephone by professional interviewers. Interview selection was random within predetermined election units. These units were structured to correlate with actual voter turnout in a statewide general election. This poll of 600 likely general election voters has an accuracy of +/- 4.0% at a 95% confidence interval.


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